By Michael Moline | Editor in Chief
“In many states, Democrats are looking forward to a favorable year driven by a reaction to President Donald Trump and his policies.” — Louis Jacobson, Sabato’s Crystal Ball
Lawmakers convene in a joint session in the Florida House of Representatives chamber to hear Gov. Ron DeSantis deliver the State of the State address on March 4, 2025. (Photo by Jay Waagmeester/Florida Phoenix)
Party control is up for grabs in 15 state legislative chambers across the country as Republicans are increasingly on the defensive this midterm election cycle. The nonpartisan newsletter Sabato’s Crystal Ball’s final analysis of state legislative races ahead of November changes projections for 10 chambers — all shifting in favor of Democrats. Florida Democrats don’t have much of a chance to win control of the state House or Senate, but Republicans could lose their supermajorities.
This year, 164 measures have been or will be on the ballot across 40 states. The titles average a reading level requiring 17 years of education, which corresponds to a first-year graduate student, Ballotpedia reports. The summaries average a reading level requiring 15 years of education. About 423% of the U.S. adult population ages 25-54 have a bachelor’s degree or higher. Research has found voters are more likely to skip ballot questions that have more complex language.
Members of the House and Senate Intelligence committees are laying out scenarios for interference, since a Democratic sweep could doom his legislative agenda and mire him in investigations. “We’re making the assumption that the president is not going to accept the results of what looks to be a very challenging election for him and his party,” said Rep. Jim Himes of Connecticut.
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